A very interesting analysis done by DR BRIDGET WELSH. In the table below, "Grey" seats mean the seats that can go either way.
In my opinion, Sarawak, Sabah, Johor, Selangor, Negeri Sembilan and Pahang are the key states that will determine the destiny of PR and BN. Definitely, we can see the chance of PR overtaking BN is there.
More info
http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/226677
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